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	<title>Mouli Cohen&#187; Conflicting Opinions on &#8216;End&#8217; of Recession | Mouli Cohen</title>
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		<title>Conflicting Opinions on &#8216;End&#8217; of Recession</title>
		<link>http://www.moulicohen.com/2009/09/18/conflicting-opinions-on-end-of-recession/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Sep 2009 23:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>natelithgow</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Joseph Stiglitz]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.moulicohen.com/?p=1171</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After last week&#8217;s announcement by Ben Bernanke that the recession was essentially over, I think many of us probably breathed a sigh of relief. Here&#8217;s a man responsible for many of the programs which have been so hotly contested, programs which have funneled billions of dollars to banks who may or may not have used [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After last week&#8217;s <a href="http://www.dailyfinance.com/2009/09/15/bernanke-says-the-recession-is-likely-over-but-it-wont-feel/" target="_blank">announcement</a> by Ben Bernanke that the recession was essentially over, I think many of us probably breathed a sigh of relief. Here&#8217;s a man responsible for many of the programs which have been so hotly contested, programs which have funneled billions of dollars to banks who may or may not have used that money wisely in stopping a total collapse for the finance system. But Bernanke is not the end-all-be-all of economists.</p>
<p>Joseph Stiglitz, a former Nobel Prize winner in economics, made waves yesterday when he  argued  against Bernanke&#8217;s claim. Stiglitz, in an interview with <a href="http://www.dailyfinance.com/2009/09/17/exclusive-nobel-winner-joseph-stiglitz-predicts-recessions-end/" target="_blank">Daily Finance</a>, said that &#8221; we would be lucky to be out of the recession by 2012&#8230;2010 may be a year of positive growth, though far weaker than would be necessary to get unemployment down significantly.&#8221;</p>
<p>The current unemployment rate has remained a sticking point for many of the assessments of the economy, including Bernanke own view. The lack of new jobs created provides a frightening scenario for the world&#8217;s wealthiest countries, who are in desperate need of tax revenue to pay for the stimulus measures undertaken to right their respective economies.</p>
<p>According to the <a href="http://www.dailyfinance.com/2009/09/16/oecd-warns-high-unemployment-could-last-years/" target="_blank">Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development</a>, &#8220;high unemployment in the world&#8217;s wealthiest countries could last years,&#8221; ensuring that the crater left by last year&#8217;s events would be much deeper than most experts had hoped.</p>
<p>Stiglitz&#8217;s view makes job creation the number one factor in any recovery, a fact which echoes much of the rhetoric of President Obama around the time of the stimulus bill&#8217;s passage. Stiglitz also came out to condemn the practice of trading in complex derivatives by saying they do not serve the &#8220;common good&#8221; in any meaningful way.</p>
<p>This Nobel Prize winner&#8217;s analysis should not be dismissed as naysaying, but rather be looked upon as a challenge for the private sector, which may have the power to infuse the economy with the kind of projects designed to put people to work. Without an improvement in unemployment at some point in the next two quarters, the futures outlook could be grim.</p>
<p>[image via <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/seattlemunicipalarchives/3814803093/sizes/o/" target="_blank">Seattle Municipal Archives</a>]</p>
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